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Missile Contagion Cruise Missile Proliferation and the Threat to International Security
Dennis M. Gormley
ISBN: 0-275-99836-3
ISBN-13: 978-0-275-99836-3
272 pages
Praeger Publishers
Publication: 5/30/2008
List Price: $54.95 (UK Sterling Price: £37.95)
Availability: In Stock
Media Type: Hardcover
Also Available: Ebook
Trim Size: 6 1/8 x 9 1/4
Subjects: Reviews:
  • "The strength of Gormley's approach is that Missile Contagion is structured to address issues of interest to multiple audiences—international security analysts, academics, and policymakers. Failing to heed his unambiguous warnings will increase the likelihood that the missile contagion will spread unchecked, and the United States, along with its allies and friends, will confront a world unnecessarily more dangerous."
    —The Nonproliferation Review
    00/00/00
  • Gormley (Univ. of Pittsburgh) systematically and effectively lays out the often underestimated threat of cruise missile proliferation....Recommended. Upper-division undergraduates and above.
    —Choice
    12/1/2008
  • "The strength of Gormley's approach is that Missile Contagion is structured to address issues of interest to multiple audiences international security analysts, academics, and policy makers. This is understandable, given his varied roles, past and present: longstanding advisor to U.S. government agencies on security issues; former consulting senior fellow at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, where he focused on cruise missiles; and current senior fellow at the Monterey Institute's James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies in Washington, DC, and faculty member at the University of Pittsburgh's Graduate School of Public and International Affairs."
    —Baker
    1/1/2009
Description: Most books on missile proliferation focus on the spread of ballistic missiles or cruise missiles, not both. Gormley's work, however, explains why cruise missiles are beginning to spread widely, but does so by explaining their spread in the context of ballistic missile proliferation. It therefore treats both ballistic and cruise missile proliferation as related phenomenon. This work also focuses evenhandedly on both nonproliferation and defense policy (including missile defenses and counterforce doctrines) to fashion a set of integrated strategies for dealing with ballistic and cruise missile proliferation.

Signs of missile contagion abound. In this study, Gormley argues that a series of rapid and surprising developments since 2005 suggest that the proliferation of missiles capable of delivering either weapons of mass destruction or highly accurate conventional payloads is approaching a critical threshold. The surprising fact is that land-attack cruise missiles, not ballistic missiles, constitute the primary problem. Flying under the radar, both literally and figuratively, land-attack cruise missiles add a dangerous new dimension to protecting U.S. security interests and preventing regional military instability. Gormley asserts that cruise missiles are not destined to supplant ballistic missiles; rather, they are likely to join them, because when both are employed together, they could severely test even the best missile defenses. Worse yet, Gormley argues, land-attack cruise missiles are increasingly being linked to preemptive strike doctrines, which are fueling regional arms races and crisis instability. This work explains why an epidemic of cruise missile proliferation, long forecasted by analysts, has only recently begun to occur. After first assessing the state of ballistic missile proliferation, Gormley explores the role of three factors in shaping the spread of cruise missiles. These include specialized knowledge needed for missile development; narrative messages about reasons for acquiring cruise missiles; and norms of state behavior about missile nonproliferation policy and defense doctrine. This book then addresses the policy adjustments needed to stanch the spread of cruise missiles in the first place, or, barring that, cope militarily with a more demanding missile threat consisting of both cruise and ballistic missiles.
Table of Contents:
  • Glossary
    Preface and Acknowledgments
    PART ONE The Proliferation Context
    Chapter 1 Introduction
    Chapter 2 The Ballistic Missile Context
    Chapter 3 Ballistic Missiles and Regional Competitions
    Chapter 4 Land-Attack Cruise Missiles Signs of Contagion
    Chapter 5 Regional Signs of Contagion
    PART TWO Proliferation Instrumentalities
    Chapter 6 Knowledge
    Chapter 7 Narrative
    Chapter 8 Norms
    PART THREE Policy Responses
    Chapter 9 Nonproliferation and Defense Policy Responses
    Appendix Selected Missile Programs
    Notes
    Select Bibliography
About the Author: Dennis M. Gormley is a Senior Fellow at the Monterey Institute's James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies in Washington, D.C. and a member of the faculty of the Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Pittsburgh. Mr. Gormley has chaired or served on numerous Department of Defense and intelligence community advisory panels and frequently testified before Congressional committees on missile nonproliferation issues, is the author of three books, and has contributed frequently to leading journals and newspapers.
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